Jerez Cf vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DBN
2 - 0
JER
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
JER
1 - 1
SAM
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
1 - 0
JER
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JER
1 - 1
EXT
28%
26%
47%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
JER
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 2
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ASJ
2 - 3
MAD
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 1
RCV
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
UDF
2 - 1
MAD
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MAD
3 - 1
CPC
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |