Jennersdorf vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jennersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
JEN
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
JEN
1 - 2
HOR
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ASK
2 - 3
JEN
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
JEN
2 - 1
WAL
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STM
1 - 1
JEN
46%
24%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUS
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAU
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
5 - 2
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
HOR
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ASK
2 - 5
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |