JEF United vs Sagamihara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
MIT
0 - 1
JEF
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
JEF
0 - 0
TOC
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ZWE
0 - 1
JEF
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
KYO
2 - 1
JEF
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
JEF
1 - 2
RYK
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sagamihara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
VEN
2 - 0
SAG
53%
27%
21%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SAG
1 - 2
JUB
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 0
SAG
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SAG
2 - 2
ALB
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ZWE
2 - 1
SAG
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |