JEF United vs Matsumoto Yamaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
THE
0 - 1
JEF
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
JEF
1 - 0
EHI
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
JEF
1 - 3
JUB
26%
27%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SAG
1 - 0
JEF
28%
28%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
JEF
2 - 0
VVA
33%
26%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Matsumoto Yamaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 1
GIR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ZWE
1 - 1
MAT
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TOK
2 - 0
MAT
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 2
KYO
22%
27%
51%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 4
JUB
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |