JEF United vs Flugels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1996 |
CER
2 - 3
JEF
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
JEF
3 - 2
KAA
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
TOK
2 - 1
JEF
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
JEF
2 - 1
GAM
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
JEF
3 - 0
NAG
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1996 |
FLU
4 - 3
TOK
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
NAG
2 - 3
FLU
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
JUB
2 - 3
FLU
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FLU
1 - 4
URA
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
FLU
1 - 2
FCY
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |