JEF United vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
REN
0 - 1
JEF
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 0
JEF
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JEF
0 - 1
SAG
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
MIT
0 - 1
JEF
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
JEF
0 - 0
TOC
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 2
MAC
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BLA
0 - 1
FAG
49%
28%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 0
GIR
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
THE
1 - 0
FAG
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 2
MIT
31%
28%
42%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |