Jarville vs Sarre-Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
78.9%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
14º
14º
14º
43
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RCE
5 - 1
JAR
62%
19%
18%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
JAR
2 - 2
THA
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
REI
3 - 1
JAR
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 3
BIE
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ILL
3 - 1
JAR
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
MEZ
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
STR
4 - 1
SAR
30%
25%
46%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -3 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ILL
2 - 3
SAR
11%
15%
74%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
THA
0 - 3
SAR
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 1
CHA
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |