Japan U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
URY
2 - 0
JAP
62%
21%
18%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 2
JAP
24%
23%
53%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
JAP
3 - 2
HND
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 1
JAP
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 3
JAP
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
SUD
0 - 2
ITA
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
URY
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
VEN
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
POL
3 - 1
ITA
27%
23%
51%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
ITA
20%
20%
60%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |