Jammerbugt vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
69.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
12º
12º
28
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jammerbugt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AKA
3 - 0
JAM
79%
15%
6%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
JAM
0 - 3
FRE
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ROS
3 - 0
JAM
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JAM
0 - 3
AAF
10%
17%
73%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HEL
3 - 0
JAM
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
KOL
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
B93
2 - 0
THI
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
THI
2 - 0
HOL
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
VEJ
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SIK
1 - 1
THI
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |