El Jaish vs Al-Shamal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2009 |
ALM
2 - 2
JAI
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 5
JAI
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2008 |
JAI
4 - 0
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
JAI
2 - 2
ALS
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2008 |
AHL
1 - 1
JAI
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2009 |
LEK
5 - 2
ALS
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2008 |
MES
0 - 1
ALS
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2008 |
ALS
1 - 3
AHL
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ALS
1 - 3
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2008 |
ALS
3 - 2
ALM
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |