Jaguares de Jalisco vs Industriales Naucalpan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares de Jalisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
DRT
1 - 2
JAJ
25%
25%
49%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
JAJ
2 - 1
FUR
53%
24%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NEZ
1 - 4
JAJ
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HAQ
0 - 3
JAJ
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
JAJ
0 - 0
CHA
32%
28%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Industriales Naucalpan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
IDN
1 - 1
FUR
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
HAQ
3 - 3
IDN
26%
24%
51%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
2 - 3
IDN
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
IDN
1 - 0
DRT
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NEZ
1 - 1
IDN
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |