Chiapas vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiapas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 1
JAG
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
UAP
1 - 0
JAG
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PAC
1 - 0
JAG
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
ATS
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
JAG
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 0
PAC
27%
25%
49%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NEC
0 - 1
LEO
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 0
NEC
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
NEC
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
AME
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |