Jagodina vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BEO
0 - 2
JAG
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
JAG
0 - 0
BOR
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RAD
0 - 0
JAG
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
FKS
0 - 0
JAG
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 2
NPA
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRV
3 - 1
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MLA
0 - 3
CRV
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CRV
1 - 0
JAV
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
RAD
0 - 2
CRV
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
CRV
3 - 1
ČUK
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |