Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Raków Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
15º
12º
75
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 0
JAG
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 0
POG
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
WLO
1 - 1
JAG
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PGL
1 - 1
JAG
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 1
JAG
18%
22%
61%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RAK
2 - 0
GÓR
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
STA
0 - 0
RAK
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RAK
1 - 0
PGL
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 1
RAK
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
RAK
3 - 1
SKD
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |