Jacuipense vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
PAY
2 - 0
JAC
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TOM
3 - 0
JAC
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 1
FLO
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 2
JAC
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
JAC
0 - 0
BOT
25%
30%
45%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
FER
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FLO
0 - 2
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOM
29%
29%
42%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |