Jablonec II vs Náchod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
HVZ
2 - 0
JBN
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
JBN
0 - 0
SPA
26%
29%
45%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
VPZ
3 - 2
JBN
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
JBN
0 - 1
TPC
43%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
HKI
4 - 3
JBN
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Náchod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
SPI
32%
28%
41%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SLO
3 - 1
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HVZ
1 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPA
31%
29%
40%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
VPZ
1 - 1
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |