Iztapa vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
12º
10º
44
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
25.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CHI
3 - 0
IZT
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
IZT
3 - 1
MIX
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MIX
2 - 2
IZT
24%
26%
51%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
IZT
0 - 1
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
COM
2 - 0
IZT
44%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 0
SLC
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
MUN
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 0
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 1
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |