Ivry vs Paris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
10º
8º
29
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 46.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
IVR
0 - 1
ESA
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VTR
1 - 1
IVR
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
AUB
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
IVR
2 - 1
BRE
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LMR
3 - 1
IVR
28%
23%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Paris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 3
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 4
LMU
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 5
PAR
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 2
DRA
51%
23%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VTR
3 - 1
PAR
26%
22%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |