Ivry vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AAC
0 - 1
IVR
41%
28%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
IVR
1 - 0
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
IVR
0 - 0
DRA
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
IVR
1 - 1
AMN
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 2
IVR
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MET
0 - 3
AMN
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 1
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MET
0 - 0
DUN
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
LIL
0 - 1
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |