Ituzaingó vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
LAM
1 - 0
ITU
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ITU
2 - 0
COL
27%
27%
47%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ITU
0 - 0
ARR
28%
27%
45%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ITU
1 - 1
DOC
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
LAF
1 - 0
ITU
59%
22%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
VSC
2 - 0
DOC
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
LAF
0 - 3
VSC
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2006 |
VSC
4 - 2
FEN
41%
26%
34%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
VSC
0 - 0
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
SBA
1 - 2
VSC
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |