Itumbiara vs CDR Guará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 3
ITU
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ITU
1 - 3
ATL
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
VIL
4 - 1
ITU
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ITU
1 - 1
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ITU
3 - 1
GOI
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CDR Guará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 1
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
LUZ
0 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
GUA
4 - 2
PAR
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
DOM
1 - 2
GUA
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
0 - 0
CEI
33%
25%
43%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |