Ituano vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 0
ITU
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
OPE
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITU
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 0
ITU
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 1
TOM
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 0
BRU
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
TOM
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 0
SPO
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VAS
3 - 1
TOM
60%
26%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |