Ituano vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
ITU
2 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 0
ITU
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
ITU
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 3
AGU
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
ITU
15%
23%
62%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
SAO
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
13%
28%
59%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |