Ituano vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 0
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
ITU
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 1
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
BRU
4 - 2
ITU
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
ITU
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 1
NOV
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
MIR
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 0
FLO
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FLO
0 - 1
MIR
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 1
MIR
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |