Ituano vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 2
CRI
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
ITU
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 1
ITU
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 1
ITU
40%
29%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 2
PPE
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VIL
62%
24%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SPO
53%
27%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
CRZ
71%
18%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PPE
60%
25%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 0
CRZ
39%
28%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |