Ituano vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
ITU
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 1
ITU
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 1
ITU
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 2
PPE
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
ITU
34%
29%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRI
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
VIL
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
MET
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
CRI
10%
18%
72%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
0 - 1
BRU
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |