Ituano vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 1
ITU
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
LON
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
ITU
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 1
CRZ
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 2
CRI
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 3
LON
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
SAM
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |