Itapirense vs CA Joseense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITA
54%
26%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 4
ATI
36%
24%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 1
SJS
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
SJS
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
INT
2 - 1
SJS
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |