Itapirense vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 0
ITA
49%
26%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
RBB
1 - 1
ITA
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
43%
26%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 3
CAP
27%
26%
48%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
USA
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
DES
0 - 1
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 2
DES
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 1
DES
22%
24%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
DES
0 - 1
SAO
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |