Italien vs Pully Football analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
30%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
14º
14º
59
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 2
PLO
89%
8%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FOO
2 - 7
ITA
9%
14%
77%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 5
STA
8%
13%
79%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
YVE
2 - 4
ITA
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 2
ECH
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pully Football
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PFO
4 - 1
FOO
90%
8%
3%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PLO
0 - 1
PFO
12%
16%
72%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PFO
3 - 3
LAN
57%
20%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
PFO
1 - 4
BAS
3%
9%
88%
|
32 | 84 | 52 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PFO
1 - 4
FCA
10%
15%
75%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | 0 |