Italien vs Plan-les-Ouates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
14º
14º
38
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FOO
2 - 7
ITA
9%
14%
77%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 5
STA
8%
13%
79%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
YVE
2 - 4
ITA
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 2
ECH
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
GEN
1 - 3
ITA
11%
16%
73%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Plan-les-Ouates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PLO
0 - 1
PFO
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
VEV
3 - 0
PLO
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -7 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
PLO
1 - 5
CSC
57%
22%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
PER
1 - 3
PLO
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
PLO
2 - 1
VEY
35%
22%
43%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |