Italien vs Renens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 2
FCS
90%
7%
3%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FCF
3 - 0
ITA
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 2
CON
56%
19%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FCA
1 - 2
ITA
64%
17%
18%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ITA
5 - 3
GEN
79%
13%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Renens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
VEY
3 - 0
FCR
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FCR
1 - 1
FCM
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SBC
1 - 1
FCR
77%
13%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
FCR
0 - 2
SER
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FCR
2 - 0
COL
8%
13%
79%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +3 |