Italien vs Conthey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
18.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
7 - 2
SIE
82%
11%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COL
4 - 1
ITA
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 4
VEY
49%
21%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 5
ITA
14%
17%
69%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
FCS
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Conthey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
UGS
2 - 1
CON
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
SIE
62%
19%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 2
CON
56%
19%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CON
4 - 2
VEY
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FCM
3 - 0
CON
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |