Italien vs Collex-Bossy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
14º
14º
25
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SBC
6 - 1
ITA
37%
22%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 2
PFO
50%
21%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 2
PLO
89%
8%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FOO
2 - 7
ITA
9%
14%
77%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 5
STA
8%
13%
79%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Collex-Bossy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
FOO
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PLO
2 - 0
COL
13%
16%
71%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
LAN
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
YVE
0 - 0
COL
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
ODG
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |