Italien vs Collex-Bossy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
41.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
7 - 2
SIE
82%
11%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COL
4 - 1
ITA
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 4
VEY
49%
21%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 5
ITA
14%
17%
69%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
FCS
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Collex-Bossy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FCF
0 - 2
COL
20%
19%
61%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COL
4 - 1
ITA
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 3
COL
47%
20%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
COL
3 - 1
SIE
80%
12%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
COL
5 - 2
SBC
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |