Italy U21 vs Norway U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 3
ITA
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
3 - 1
UKR
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SRB
0 - 2
ITA
20%
23%
57%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 4
DEU
28%
24%
49%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Norway U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
FRA
12%
18%
70%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
CHE
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SCT
1 - 1
NOR
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
SCT
0 - 0
NOR
20%
22%
58%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
PRT
3 - 0
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |