Italy U21 vs Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 1
ITA
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
LUX
0 - 3
ITA
6%
15%
79%
|
78 | 30 | 48 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
BIH
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
MNE
1 - 1
ITA
8%
18%
74%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
ITA
4 - 2
ROU
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
IRL
3 - 1
MNE
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
IRL
3 - 0
BIH
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
SWE
0 - 2
IRL
73%
17%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
IRL
1 - 0
SWE
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
IRL
0 - 2
ITA
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |