Italy U21 vs Greece U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
AZE
0 - 2
ITA
10%
20%
70%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
NLD
1 - 2
ITA
36%
28%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 1
ITA
12%
21%
67%
|
82 | 42 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ITA
5 - 0
AZE
82%
14%
4%
|
82 | 37 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
GRC
2 - 2
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Greece U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 1
GRC
20%
24%
57%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
GRC
2 - 1
ALB
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GRC
3 - 4
HRV
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
GRC
2 - 2
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 2
GRC
17%
22%
61%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | +1 |