Italy U21 vs Slovenia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CZE
1 - 1
ITA
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
4 - 1
SWE
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 4
ITA
5%
13%
82%
|
77 | 32 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ISL
1 - 2
ITA
18%
22%
61%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SVN
1 - 1
CZE
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SVN
0 - 3
ESP
9%
17%
74%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
SVN
2 - 2
RUS
23%
21%
56%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
DEU
1 - 1
SVN
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
HUN
3 - 3
SVN
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |