Italy U21 vs Bosnia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
MNE
1 - 1
ITA
8%
18%
74%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
ITA
4 - 2
ROU
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
IRL
0 - 2
ITA
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
SWE
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
BIH
1 - 2
ITA
15%
21%
63%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Bosnia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
BIH
1 - 0
LUX
81%
14%
6%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
BIH
2 - 1
MNE
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
SWE
4 - 0
BIH
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
LUX
0 - 2
BIH
13%
21%
67%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
BIH
1 - 2
ITA
15%
21%
63%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |