Italy U20 vs Switzerland U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
CZE
1 - 0
ITA
27%
22%
51%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
NLD
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
DEU
2 - 2
ITA
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
PRT
4 - 2
ITA
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 5
ENG
37%
23%
40%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Switzerland U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
MLT
1 - 3
CHE
7%
14%
79%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 4
CZE
28%
23%
50%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
NLD
1 - 0
CHE
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
DEU
2 - 1
CHE
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 1
PRT
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |