Italy U20 vs Rumanía Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
BRA
1 - 0
ITA
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
ITA
1 - 4
KOR
66%
18%
15%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1981 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
60%
19%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1977 |
BRA
2 - 0
ITA
75%
14%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
IRA
0 - 0
ITA
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rumanía Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
ROU
1 - 0
KOR
63%
19%
17%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
ROU
1 - 1
BRA
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |