Italia U20 vs Anglie U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 3
GER
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CZE
1 - 2
ITA
14%
17%
69%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ROU
0 - 0
ITA
11%
17%
72%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
ENG
0 - 3
ITA
45%
24%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
England U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 0
ROU
62%
20%
19%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 1
ENG
14%
17%
69%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
CZE
1 - 3
ENG
18%
19%
63%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
POL
1 - 5
ENG
19%
21%
60%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
GER
2 - 3
ENG
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |