Italy U20 vs Germany U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 4
CHE
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
POL
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
DEU
0 - 1
ITA
43%
26%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 0
DNK
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
POL
0 - 3
ITA
34%
24%
43%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
DEU
2 - 2
NLD
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
ENG
3 - 1
DEU
8%
14%
78%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
USA
0 - 1
DEU
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
POL
3 - 0
DEU
27%
23%
50%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
DEU
0 - 1
ITA
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |