Italy U17 vs Austria U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
DEU
1 - 3
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
AUT
1 - 4
ITA
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 0
ROU
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
TUR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
HRV
0 - 3
ITA
38%
23%
39%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Austria U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
ESP
3 - 0
AUT
71%
19%
11%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
AUT
1 - 4
ITA
30%
26%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AUT
0 - 0
TUR
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ROU
1 - 5
AUT
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
SVN
1 - 1
AUT
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |