Águilas Doradas vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
PER
1 - 2
AGU
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 0
AGU
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 1
PER
37%
26%
38%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
JAG
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
AGU
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 2
NAC
12%
22%
66%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
SFE
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 3
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
JAG
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |