Itabuna vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
GAM
1 - 0
ITA
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1978 |
ITA
3 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +5 |
| 30 May. 1978 |
SER
0 - 2
ITA
46%
23%
30%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
CRB
1 - 0
ITA
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
ITA
1 - 1
CSA
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
MIX
1 - 0
ITU
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
MIX
3 - 0
GUA
43%
26%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 1978 |
MIX
1 - 2
GOY
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
MIX
2 - 1
PPE
33%
25%
43%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
MIX
1 - 2
SCI
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |