Itabuna vs Barcelona BA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
5 - 0
ITA
93%
6%
2%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ITA
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 1
JAC
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAH
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
1 - 1
ITA
11%
17%
72%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
JAC
18%
21%
61%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 0
BAR
95%
5%
1%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
1 - 0
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
VIT
8%
18%
75%
|
40 | 79 | 39 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JEQ
0 - 2
BAR
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |