Itabaiana vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
CON
23%
25%
53%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
ITA
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 2
EST
39%
25%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
SOC
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 1
SER
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
COR
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
EST
0 - 4
SER
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SER
4 - 0
AMA
76%
15%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |