Itabaiana vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
ITA
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
69%
20%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
ITA
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 1
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
4 - 0
FFC
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
ADC
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
OSE
1 - 3
LAG
14%
23%
63%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LAG
3 - 1
DOR
73%
18%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
LAG
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 1
ATG
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |